North Korean officials proud of their nuclear test, U.S. experts say
WASHINGTON .North Korean officials are proud of their country's
nuclear test and are unlikely to be persuaded easily to give up
their nuclear weapons, a group of Korea experts said Wednesday
after a visit to the reclusive communist nation.
The experts, who visited North Korea's capital of Pyongyang from
Oct. 31 to Nov. 4, just weeks after the Oct. 9 test, said they
were surprised by conditions in the city, where streets were crowded
with cars and, something new this year, motorcycles.
"There were also well-dressed people on the streets like
I hadn't seen before," said Robert Carlin, a former U.S.
intelligence analyst making his 26th visit to North Korea.
Carlin said he saw trucks laden with cabbages, new buildings
going up and others freshly painted, and a well-stocked free market
whose parking lot was jammed with cars.
Siegfried S. Hecker, a nuclear scientist and former director
of the Los Alamos National Laboratory, said he and the others
met with the head of North Korea's Yongbyon nuclear center, Ri
Hong Sop, but weren't allowed to visit the center. They also spoke
with high-ranking officials in the Ministry of Foreign Affairs,
the army and the government.
The delegation was led by John W. Lewis, a Chinese politics and
North Korea expert at Stanford University.
Hecker said that North Korean officials said they remained committed
to a Sept. 19, 2005, agreement with the United States that would
end the nuclear program in exchange for security guarantees and
energy benefits. But Hecker said he concluded it would be harder
now to persuade the North Koreans to do so.
Delegation member Charles L. Pritchard, the U.S. special envoy
for negotiations with North Korea from 2001 to 2003, said he also
believed that the North Koreans would be tougher negotiators.
"A few years ago I'd say it was possible to negotiate an
end of the crisis. Now I'm not so sure," Pritchard said.
The North Koreans are feeling confident and, in their words, "on
an equal footing" with the United States, the former negotiator
said.
The group met with Li Gun, deputy director general of the North
Korean Ministry for Foreign Affairs, who said North Korea was
committed to returning to six-party talks and the eventual denuclearization
of the Korean Peninsula, Pritchard said.
Li also told the delegation that North Korea wouldn't use nuclear
weapons first and wouldn't sell nuclear weapons and technology
to any group, including al-Qaida.
But Pritchard said Li made clear that North Korea had short-term
expectations for the upcoming talks with the United States and
the four other nations, which North Korea agreed to on Oct. 31.
Li also said that China will unfreeze North Korean assets in
a Macau bank and that the United States won't object as a condition
of the talks, Pritchard said.
The U.S. government has claimed that North Korea was using Banco
Delta Asia to launder illegal profits from drug trafficking, counterfeiting
and cigarette smuggling, and it has put pressure on the bank to
stop doing business with North Korea.
Li said there had to be progress on Banco Delta Asia first, and
he indicated that North Korea next would insist on dropping the
sanctions contained in a U.N. Security Council resolution.
U.S. officials have said that the U.N. sanctions should be implemented
but that they'll discuss the Macau bank issue at the talks. The
six-party talks also include China, South Korea, Russia and Japan.
Pritchard said Li quoted President Reagan on the need to "trust
but verify." Li acknowledged that verification would be necessary
if North Korea agrees to suspend its nuclear programs, but insisted
that it also would be necessary to verify that it receives benefits
at each step.
Pritchard said the group immediately e-mailed a report to Secretary
of State Condoleezza Rice. The Bush administration didn't sanction
the trip and hasn't responded, he said.
Hecker suggested in a written report that the United States must
do more to address North Korea's security concerns.
He also said that North Korean officials had "little appreciation
of the issues of safety and security related to having a nuclear
arsenal." North Korea probably has enough plutonium for nine
nuclear weapons and can produce enough for one per year over the
next few years, he said.
Ri and other officials didn't provide details about the Oct.
9 test, but Chinese nuclear experts put it at about 1 kiloton,
which they described as "successful but not perfect,"
Hecker said.
Many things can go wrong in a test, but a 1-kiloton test isn't
a fizzle, as some U.S. officials have suggested, Hecker said.
The U.S. atomic bomb dropped on Nagasaki, Japan, produced a 21-kiloton
blast.
"A 1-kiloton explosion in Manhattan would be a catastrophe,"
Hecker said.